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AJG

AJG

Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

$216.24+0.23%
Mkt Cap: $55.56BDY: 1.30%

Performance

AJG (AJG) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

AJG (AJG) operates in the Insurance Brokers space within the Financial Services sector. With a market cap of $55.6B, it qualifies as a mid-cap company. The company is growing revenue strongly while maintaining healthy profitability — a combination that investors typically reward with a premium valuation.

Bull Case5
  • Forward P/E (14.5×) is lower than trailing P/E (35.0×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • Revenue grew 35% year-over-year — exceptional top-line expansion
  • Healthy profit margin of 11.4%
  • Price is near its 52-week low — potential entry point with asymmetric upside
  • Low beta of 0.53 — less volatile than the market, suitable for conservative portfolios
Bear Case2
  • P/E of 35.0× is above average — valuation requires continued strong growth to justify
  • High debt-to-equity of 56.18× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates

Verdict

Strong Buy

Multiple fundamental strengths with few red flags. Long-term buyers may find this compelling.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

1.30%

5Y Avg Annual

$2.1280

Last Payment

$0.7000

Ex-Date

06/05/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2011
2019
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest06/05/2026
06/19/2026$0.70001.29%
03/06/2026
03/20/2026$0.70001.29%
12/05/2025
12/19/2025$0.65001.20%
09/05/2025
09/19/2025$0.65001.20%
06/06/2025
06/20/2025$0.65001.20%
03/07/2025
03/21/2025$0.65001.20%
12/06/2024
12/20/2024$0.60001.11%
09/06/2024
09/20/2024$0.60001.11%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$216.24

Price

÷

$0.7000

Last div. (quarterly)

=

309

shares

Own 309 AJG shares ($66,818.16) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$66,818.16

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Jul 30, 2026

44

days

EPS (TTM)

$6.17

P/E (TTM)

35.0

Fwd P/E

14.5

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$55.56B
P/E Ratio35.05
Forward P/E14.55
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio0.94
EPS (TTM)$6.17

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$327.34
52W Low$190.75
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)1,904,176
Beta0.53

Dividends

Dividend Yield1.30%
Annual Rate$2.80
Ex-Div Date2026-06-05
Payout Ratio42.88%

Profitability

Profit Margin11.35%
Operating Margin28.40%
ROE7.01%
ROA2.28%
Revenue Growth34.60%
Earnings Growth16.20%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$14.20B
Total Debt$13.37B
Debt / Equity56.18
Current Ratio1.06
Free Cash Flow$1.08B

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $216.24

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$113.35

-47.6% downside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$37.20

-82.8% downside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

8/10

80% score

Pays dividends

15Y hist.

15+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

15 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

7.0%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

11.4%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

+34.6%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

+16.2%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

56.18×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

1.06×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$412M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

1.30%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Financial Services

About AJG

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and reinsurance brokerage, consulting, and third-party property/casualty claims settlement and administration services to entities and individuals worldwide. The company operates in Brokerage and Risk Management segments. Its Brokerage segment offers retail and wholesale insurance and reinsurance brokerage services; assists retail brokers and other non-affiliated brokers in the placement of specialized and hard-to-place insurance; and acts as a brokerage wholesaler, managing general agent, and managing general underwriter for distributing specialized insurance coverages to underwriting enterprises. This segment performs activities, including marketing, underwriting, issuing policies, collecting premiums, appointing and supervising other agents, paying claims, and negotiating reinsurance; and offers services in the areas of insurance and reinsurance placement, risk of loss management, and management of employer sponsored benefit programs. The Risk Management segment provides contract claim settlement and administration services; and claims management, loss control consulting, and insurance property appraisal services. The company offers its services through a network of correspondent brokers and consultants. It serves commercial, industrial, public, religious, and nonprofit entities, as well as underwriting enterprises. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Rolling Meadows, Illinois.

Sector

Financial Services

Industry

Insurance Brokers

Location

Rolling Meadows, United States

Employees

72,373