MAT- Mattel, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Price & Performance
Performance
Analysis & Verdict
Analyst Ratings
Wall Street consensus from 13 analysts
12-Month Price Target
$18.23
Based on analyst estimates; price targets are opinions, not guarantees.
Fair Value Estimates
Current price: $14.03
Graham Number
√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)
$14.52
Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.
Bazin Ceiling Price
Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%
$23.03
Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.
These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.
Buy & Hold Checklist
Quality criteria for long-term holding
7/10
88% score
Pays dividends
15Y hist.15+ years of dividend history
Dividend consistency (5Y+)
15 yrsUninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years
ROE above 10%
20.5%Return on equity - measures how efficiently capital is used
Positive profit margin
7.8%Net profit margin must be positive - company earns more than it spends
Revenue growth (annual)
+10.5%Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year
Earnings growth (annual)
Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year
Debt/Equity below 2×
137.44×Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress
Current ratio above 1
1.90×Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities
Daily liquidity above $5M
$60M/dayHigh trading volume ensures easy entry and exit
Dividend yield above 0%
Stock must distribute income to shareholders
Financials
Revenue & Results
Key Statistics
Earnings
Next Earnings
Oct 27, 2026
42
days
EPS (TTM)
$1.34
P/E (TTM)
10.5
Fwd P/E
8.8
SEC Filings & Reported Financials
Earnings History
SEC EDGAR · official filings
SEC Filings
Official EDGAR documents
Insider Transactions
SEC Form 4 · officers, directors & 10% owners
Dividends & Income
Dividends
Current DY
-
5Y Avg Annual
$1.3820
Last Payment
$0.1500
Ex-Date
08/21/2017
Annual dividends paid per share
| Ex-Date | Payment | Amount | Est. DY |
|---|---|---|---|
Latest08/21/2017 | 09/15/2017 | $0.1500 | 4.28% |
05/17/2017 | 06/11/2017 | $0.3800 | 10.83% |
02/14/2017 | 03/11/2017 | $0.3800 | 10.83% |
11/18/2016 | 12/13/2016 | $0.3800 | 10.83% |
08/19/2016 | 09/13/2016 | $0.3800 | 10.83% |
05/17/2016 | 06/11/2016 | $0.3800 | 10.83% |
02/12/2016 | 03/08/2016 | $0.3800 | 10.83% |
11/23/2015 | 12/18/2015 | $0.3800 | 10.83% |
Magic Number
Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase
$14.03
Price
$0.1500
Last div. (quarterly)
94
shares
Own 94 MAT shares ($1,318.82) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share - the snowball runs on its own.
Investment target
$1,318.82
New shares / year
+4 shares
Dividend Calculator
9.19% yieldEstimate MAT dividend income at the current rate.
Per year
$919.46
Per month
$76.62
≈ 712.8 shares at $1.29/share a year. Estimate only - dividends can be cut or raised.
Tools & Simulators
MAT vs Peers, Indexes & Commodities
?Click a card below to plot it on the chart
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Parameters
Final value
$426,404.61
Total invested
$130,000.00
Total interest
$296,404.61
Balance over time
Period breakdown
| Period | Balance | Invested | Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Start | $10,000.00 | $10,000.00 | $0.00 |
| Year 1 | $17,270.27 | $16,000.00 | $1,270.27 |
| Year 2 | $25,267.56 | $22,000.00 | $3,267.56 |
| Year 3 | $34,064.59 | $28,000.00 | $6,064.59 |
| Year 4 | $43,741.32 | $34,000.00 | $9,741.32 |
| Year 5 | $54,385.72 | $40,000.00 | $14,385.72 |
| Year 6 | $66,094.55 | $46,000.00 | $20,094.55 |
| Year 7 | $78,974.28 | $52,000.00 | $26,974.28 |
| Year 8 | $93,141.97 | $58,000.00 | $35,141.97 |
| Year 9 | $108,726.44 | $64,000.00 | $44,726.44 |
| Year 10 | $125,869.35 | $70,000.00 | $55,869.35 |
| Year 11 | $144,726.56 | $76,000.00 | $68,726.56 |
| Year 12 | $165,469.48 | $82,000.00 | $83,469.48 |
| Year 13 | $188,286.70 | $88,000.00 | $100,286.70 |
| Year 14 | $213,385.63 | $94,000.00 | $119,385.63 |
| Year 15 | $240,994.47 | $100,000.00 | $140,994.47 |
| Year 16 | $271,364.18 | $106,000.00 | $165,364.18 |
| Year 17 | $304,770.87 | $112,000.00 | $192,770.87 |
| Year 18 | $341,518.22 | $118,000.00 | $223,518.22 |
| Year 19 | $381,940.31 | $124,000.00 | $257,940.31 |
| Year 20 | $426,404.61 | $130,000.00 | $296,404.61 |
What is compound interest?
Compound interest means that the interest you earn in one period is added to your principal, so in the next period you earn interest on a larger base. This creates exponential growth: the longer your time horizon, the more dramatic the effect.
Which rate should I use?
The S&P 500 has historically returned ~10%/year before inflation over long periods - use this for an all-equity US index fund scenario. A balanced growth portfolio (stocks + bonds) is closer to 7%. High-yield savings accounts (HYSA) are currently paying around 4-5% with FDIC insurance and zero market risk. Bonds historically return ~4% annualized.
Formula used
FV = PV × (1+r)^n + PMT × ((1+r)^n − 1) / rwhere r is the monthly rate, n is the number of months, PV is the initial investment, and PMT is the monthly contribution. Annual rates are converted to monthly viar = (1 + annual%)^(1/12) − 1.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past returns do not guarantee future results.
Discussion
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About Mattel, Inc.
Mattel, Inc., a play and family entertainment company, designs, manufactures, markets, and sells toys, games, and other products in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers dolls and accessories, books, content, and lifestyle products for children under the Barbie, American Girl, Disney Princess, Disney Frozen, Monster High, Polly Pocket, and KPop Demon Hunters brands; die-cast vehicles, tracks, playsets, and accessories for kids, adults, and collectors under the Hot Wheels, Hot Wheels Monster Trucks, Hot Wheels RC, Matchbox, and Matchbox, and Cars brands; and infant, toddler, and preschool products comprising toys, content, live events, and other consumer products under the Fisher-Price, Little People, Thomas & Friends, and Power Wheels brands. It also provides action figures, building sets, games, and other products under the Masters of the Universe, Mattel Brick Shop, MEGA, UNO, Jurassic World, Minecraft, WWE, Toy Story, Star Wars, Pictionary, Skip-Bo, Phase 10, and Blokus brands; and licensor partner brands, including Disney Pixar, Microsoft, NBCUniversal, and WWE. The company sells its products to retailers, including omnichannel retailers, discount and free-standing toy stores, chain stores, department stores, and other retail outlets; wholesalers; and directly to consumers through retail spaces, boutique stores, agents and distributors, and its e-commerce platforms and third-party e-commerce channels. Mattel, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in El Segundo, California.
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Leisure
Location
El Segundo, United States
Employees
31,000
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Mattel, Inc. (MAT) stock trades at $14.03, up 0.14% on the day. With a market capitalization of $4.01 billion, MAT is a mid-cap consumer cyclical stock. It trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.5, a forward P/E of 8.8 and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.34. Over the most recent period the company reported 11% year-over-year revenue growth and a net profit margin of 7.8%. Below you'll find MAT's full fundamentals, fair-value estimates, dividend history, earnings and our buy, hold or avoid verdict for 2026.
MAT - Frequently Asked Questions
Is Mattel, Inc. (MAT) a good stock to buy in 2026?
Mattel, Inc. (MAT) shows strengths such as revenue growth of 11% and a 20% return on equity, while risks include high leverage (debt/equity of 137.4). Whether MAT is a good buy in 2026 depends on your time horizon and risk tolerance - review the full bull case, bear case and fair-value estimates above. This is informational analysis, not financial advice.
What is MAT's stock price today?
Mattel, Inc. (MAT) trades at $14.03, up 0.14% on the session. Prices on this page update throughout the trading day.
Does MAT pay a dividend?
No. Mattel, Inc. (MAT) does not currently pay a dividend, so the return comes entirely from share-price appreciation.
Is MAT overvalued?
With a P/E ratio of 10.5×, MAT trades at a relatively modest valuation for the consumer cyclical sector. Its PEG ratio is 0.96 (below 1, which can signal growth at a reasonable price). See the Fair Value Estimates section above for Graham Number and dividend-based price targets.
What is MAT's market cap?
Mattel, Inc. (MAT) has a market capitalization of $4.01 billion, classifying it as a mid-cap stock in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Disclaimer: This page - including any buy/hold/avoid view, fair value or price estimate - is generated from market data for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment or trading advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.