Stock MarketROI
Open
CTO

CTO

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

$20.83+1.12%
Mkt Cap: $703,712,192DY: 7.38%

Performance

CTO (CTO) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

CTO (CTO) operates in the REIT - Diversified space within the Real Estate sector. With a market cap of $704M, it qualifies as a small-cap company. Growth is moderate and the business remains profitable, offering a balanced risk/reward profile compared to high-multiple peers.

Bull Case5
  • Revenue growth of 15% YoY shows solid business momentum
  • Earnings grew 1200% YoY — bottom-line is expanding fast
  • Current ratio of 4.7× — ample short-term liquidity
  • Dividend yield of 7.38% provides consistent income on top of price appreciation
  • Low beta of 0.65 — less volatile than the market, suitable for conservative portfolios
Bear Case3
  • High P/E of 104.2× implies high expectations already priced in — leaves little room for disappointment
  • High debt-to-equity of 113.24× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates
  • Price is near its 52-week high — limited near-term upside, higher pullback risk

Verdict

Buy / Hold

More positives than negatives. Fundamentals support holding while monitoring key risks.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

7.38%

5Y Avg Annual

$1.3627

Last Payment

$0.3800

Ex-Date

06/11/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2011
2019
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest06/11/2026
06/30/2026$0.38007.30%
03/12/2026
03/31/2026$0.38007.30%
12/11/2025
12/30/2025$0.38007.30%
09/11/2025
09/30/2025$0.38007.30%
06/12/2025
07/01/2025$0.38007.30%
03/13/2025
04/01/2025$0.38007.30%
12/12/2024
12/31/2024$0.38007.30%
09/12/2024
10/01/2024$0.38007.30%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$20.83

Price

÷

$0.3800

Last div. (quarterly)

=

55

shares

Own 55 CTO shares ($1,145.65) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$1,145.65

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

EPS (TTM)

$0.20

P/E (TTM)

104.2

Fwd P/E

189.4

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$703.71M
P/E Ratio104.15
Forward P/E189.36
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio
EPS (TTM)$0.20

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$21.08
52W Low$15.07
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)310,353
Beta0.65

Dividends

Dividend Yield7.38%
Annual Rate$1.52
Ex-Div Date2026-06-11
Payout Ratio760.00%

Profitability

Profit Margin9.06%
Operating Margin25.00%
ROE2.40%
ROA1.74%
Revenue Growth15.00%
Earnings Growth1200.10%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$154.91M
Total Debt$651.55M
Debt / Equity113.24
Current Ratio4.69
Free Cash Flow$-21,409,376

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $20.83

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$8.82

-57.7% downside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$24.62

+18.2% upside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

8/10

80% score

Pays dividends

15Y hist.

15+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

15 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

2.4%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

9.1%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

+15.0%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

+1200.1%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

113.24×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

4.69×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$6M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

7.38%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Real Estate

About CTO

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm owns and operates a portfolio of high-quality, retail-based properties located primarily in higher growth markets in the United States. CTO also externally manages and owns a meaningful interest in Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc., a publicly traded net lease REIT. CTO Realty Growth, Inc. was incorporated in 1902 and is based in Winter Park, United States.

Sector

Real Estate

Industry

REIT - Diversified

Location

Winter Park, United States

Employees

42