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ABR

ABR

Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage

$5.19+0.57%
Mkt Cap: $1.08BDY: 20.74%

Performance

ABR (ABR) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

ABR (ABR) operates in the REIT - Mortgage space within the Real Estate sector. With a market cap of $1.1B, it qualifies as a small-cap company. Revenue has been contracting year-over-year, a headwind that investors will watch closely in upcoming earnings.

Bull Case6
  • Low P/E of 13.0× suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to earnings
  • Forward P/E (7.8×) is lower than trailing P/E (13.0×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • Exceptional profit margin of 22.4% — the business retains a large share of each dollar earned
  • Current ratio of 2.4× — ample short-term liquidity
  • Dividend yield of 20.74% provides consistent income on top of price appreciation
  • Price is near its 52-week low — potential entry point with asymmetric upside
Bear Case3
  • Revenue declined 10% YoY — warning sign for business momentum
  • Earnings fell 98% YoY — profitability is under pressure
  • High debt-to-equity of 383.27× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates

Verdict

Strong Buy

Multiple fundamental strengths with few red flags. Long-term buyers may find this compelling.

AI Insight

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AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

20.74%

5Y Avg Annual

$1.3480

Last Payment

$0.1700

Ex-Date

05/22/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2012
2019
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest05/22/2026
06/05/2026$0.170013.10%
03/10/2026
03/24/2026$0.300023.12%
11/14/2025
11/28/2025$0.300023.12%
08/15/2025
08/29/2025$0.300023.12%
05/16/2025
05/30/2025$0.300023.12%
03/07/2025
03/21/2025$0.430033.15%
11/15/2024
11/29/2024$0.430033.15%
08/16/2024
08/30/2024$0.430033.15%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$5.19

Price

÷

$0.1700

Last div. (quarterly)

=

31

shares

Own 31 ABR shares ($160.87) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$160.87

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Jul 31, 2026

45

days

EPS (TTM)

$0.40

P/E (TTM)

13.0

Fwd P/E

7.8

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$1.08B
P/E Ratio12.97
Forward P/E7.77
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio1.65
EPS (TTM)$0.40

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$12.58
52W Low$5.10
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)3,945,025
Beta1.11

Dividends

Dividend Yield20.74%
Annual Rate$1.07
Ex-Div Date2026-05-22
Payout Ratio300.00%

Profitability

Profit Margin22.43%
Operating Margin18.75%
ROE4.11%
ROA0.89%
Revenue Growth-10.30%
Earnings Growth-98.00%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$530.42M
Total Debt$11.42B
Debt / Equity383.27
Current Ratio2.43
Free Cash Flow

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $5.19

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$10.23

+97.1% upside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$25.50

+391.4% upside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

6/10

60% score

Pays dividends

14Y hist.

14+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

14 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

4.1%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

22.4%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

-10.3%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

-98.0%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

383.27×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

2.43×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$20M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

20.74%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Real Estate

About ABR

Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. invests in a diversified portfolio of structured finance assets in the multifamily, single-family rental, and commercial real estate markets in the United States. It operates in two segments, Structured Business and Agency Business. The company invests in bridge and mezzanine loans, including junior participating interests in first mortgages, and preferred and direct equity, as well as real estate-related joint ventures, real estate-related notes, and various mortgage-related securities. It also offers bridge financing products to borrowers who seek short-term capital to be used in an acquisition of property; financing products to borrowers looking to develop, acquire or refinance conventional, workforce and affordable single-family rental (SFR) housing; multifamily investors short-term floating-rate financing for new and construction-ready multifamily projects; and mezzanine financing in the form of loans that are subordinate to a conventional first mortgage loan and senior to the borrower's equity in a transaction. In addition, the company provides financing by making preferred equity investments in entities that directly or indirectly own real property that are subordinate to a first mortgage loan; and invest in structured transactions, which are primarily comprised of joint ventures formed to acquire, develop and/or sell real estate-related assets. Further, it underwrites, originates, sells, and services financing loans underwritten using similar guidelines of existing agency loans sold to the government-sponsored enterprises; and long-term permanent fixed rate loans on SFR properties. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Uniondale, New York.

Sector

Real Estate

Industry

REIT - Mortgage

Location

Uniondale, United States

Employees

653