Stock MarketROI
Open
MTDR

MTDR

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

$51.09-0.55%
Mkt Cap: $6.34BDY: 2.92%

Performance

MTDR (MTDR) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

MTDR (MTDR) operates in the Oil & Gas E&P space within the Energy sector. With a market cap of $6.3B, it qualifies as a small-cap company. Revenue has been contracting year-over-year, a headwind that investors will watch closely in upcoming earnings.

Bull Case4
  • Low P/E of 13.2× suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to earnings
  • Forward P/E (5.7×) is lower than trailing P/E (13.2×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • Healthy profit margin of 13.5%
  • Dividend yield of 2.92% provides consistent income on top of price appreciation
Bear Case3
  • Revenue declined 6% YoY — warning sign for business momentum
  • High debt-to-equity of 60.38× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates
  • Current ratio below 1 (0.73×) — short-term liabilities exceed current assets

Verdict

Buy / Hold

More positives than negatives. Fundamentals support holding while monitoring key risks.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

2.92%

5Y Avg Annual

$0.7728

Last Payment

$0.3750

Ex-Date

05/08/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2022
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest05/08/2026
06/05/2026$0.37502.94%
02/27/2026
03/27/2026$0.37502.94%
11/10/2025
12/08/2025$0.37502.94%
08/15/2025
09/12/2025$0.31302.45%
05/09/2025
06/06/2025$0.31302.45%
02/28/2025
03/28/2025$0.31302.45%
11/15/2024
12/13/2024$0.25001.96%
08/15/2024
09/12/2024$0.20001.57%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$51.10

Price

÷

$0.3750

Last div. (quarterly)

=

137

shares

Own 137 MTDR shares ($7,000.01) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$7,000.01

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Jul 28, 2026

42

days

EPS (TTM)

$3.88

P/E (TTM)

13.2

Fwd P/E

5.7

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$6.34B
P/E Ratio13.17
Forward P/E5.74
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio0.83
EPS (TTM)$3.88

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$66.84
52W Low$37.14
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)1,758,839
Beta0.73

Dividends

Dividend Yield2.92%
Annual Rate$1.50
Ex-Div Date2026-05-08
Payout Ratio35.44%

Profitability

Profit Margin13.45%
Operating Margin4.97%
ROE10.08%
ROA4.75%
Revenue Growth-6.40%
Earnings Growth

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$3.59B
Total Debt$3.57B
Debt / Equity60.38
Current Ratio0.73
Free Cash Flow$-263,931,008

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $51.09

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$62.65

+22.6% upside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$10.80

-78.9% downside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

6/10

67% score

Pays dividends

5Y hist.

5+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

5 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

10.1%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

13.5%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

-6.4%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

60.38×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

0.73×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$90M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

2.92%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Energy

About MTDR

Matador Resources Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas resources in the United States. It operates through two segments, Exploration and Production; and Midstream. The company primarily holds interests in the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring plays in the Delaware Basin in Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. It also operates the Haynesville shale and Cotton Valley plays in Northwest Louisiana. In addition, the company conducts midstream operations in support of its exploration, development, and production operations. Further, it provides natural gas processing and oil transportation services; and oil, natural gas, and produced water gathering services, as well as produced water disposal services to third parties, as well as sells natural gas to unaffiliated independent marketing companies and unaffiliated midstream companies. The company was formerly known as Matador Holdco, Inc. and changed its name to Matador Resources Company in August 2011. Matador Resources Company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Sector

Energy

Industry

Oil & Gas E&P

Location

Dallas, United States

Employees

483