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MPLX

MPLX

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

$56.27+1.09%
Mkt Cap: $57.10BDY: 7.73%

Performance

MPLX (MPLX) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

MPLX (MPLX) operates in the Oil & Gas Midstream space within the Energy sector. With a market cap of $57.1B, it qualifies as a mid-cap company. Revenue has been contracting year-over-year, a headwind that investors will watch closely in upcoming earnings.

Bull Case6
  • Low P/E of 12.2× suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to earnings
  • Forward P/E (11.4×) is lower than trailing P/E (12.2×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • Exceptional profit margin of 40.0% — the business retains a large share of each dollar earned
  • ROE of 33.4% shows management efficiently converts equity into profit
  • Dividend yield of 7.73% provides consistent income on top of price appreciation
  • Low beta of 0.46 — less volatile than the market, suitable for conservative portfolios
Bear Case3
  • Revenue declined 3% YoY — warning sign for business momentum
  • Earnings fell 18% YoY — profitability is under pressure
  • High debt-to-equity of 182.79× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates

Verdict

Strong Buy

Multiple fundamental strengths with few red flags. Long-term buyers may find this compelling.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

7.73%

5Y Avg Annual

$3.1348

Last Payment

$1.0770

Ex-Date

05/08/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2013
2020
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest05/08/2026
05/15/2026$1.07707.66%
02/09/2026
02/16/2026$1.07707.66%
11/07/2025
11/14/2025$1.07707.66%
08/08/2025
08/15/2025$0.95706.80%
05/09/2025
05/16/2025$0.95706.80%
02/03/2025
02/10/2025$0.95706.80%
11/08/2024
11/15/2024$0.95706.80%
08/09/2024
08/16/2024$0.85006.04%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$56.28

Price

÷

$1.0770

Last div. (quarterly)

=

53

shares

Own 53 MPLX shares ($2,982.58) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$2,982.58

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Aug 4, 2026

49

days

EPS (TTM)

$4.62

P/E (TTM)

12.2

Fwd P/E

11.4

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$57.10B
P/E Ratio12.18
Forward P/E11.40
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio3.40
EPS (TTM)$4.62

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$59.98
52W Low$47.80
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)2,039,526
Beta0.46

Dividends

Dividend Yield7.73%
Annual Rate$4.31
Ex-Div Date2026-05-08
Payout Ratio88.01%

Profitability

Profit Margin40.03%
Operating Margin36.13%
ROE33.41%
ROA7.04%
Revenue Growth-2.80%
Earnings Growth-18.40%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$11.74B
Total Debt$26.13B
Debt / Equity182.79
Current Ratio1.10
Free Cash Flow$1.93B

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $56.27

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$37.96

-32.5% downside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$56.21

-0.1% downside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

7/10

70% score

Pays dividends

13Y hist.

13+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

13 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

33.4%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

40.0%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

-2.8%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

-18.4%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

182.79×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

1.10×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$115M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

7.73%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Energy

About MPLX

MPLX LP owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments, Crude Oil and Products Logistics; and Natural Gas and NGL Services. The company is involved in the gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas; gathering, transportation, fractionation, storage, and marketing of natural gas liquids; gathering, storage, transportation, and distribution of crude oil and refined products, as well as other hydrocarbon-based products and renewables; and sale of residue gas and condensate. It also engages in inland marine businesses, comprising fleet of boats and barges transport light products, heavy oils, crude oil, renewable fuels, chemicals, and feedstocks in the Mid-Continent and Gulf Coast regions, as well as a marine repair facility located on the Ohio River; and distribution of fuel, as well as operates refining logistics, terminals, rail facilities, and storage caverns. In addition, it operates terminal facilities for the receipt, storage, blending, additization, handling, and redelivery of refined petroleum products through the pipeline, rail, marine, and truck transportation. MPLX GP LLC acts as the general partner of MPLX LP. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio. MPLX LP operates as a subsidiary of Marathon Petroleum Corporation.

Sector

Energy

Industry

Oil & Gas Midstream

Location

Findlay, United States