NOG
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Performance
NOG (NOG) Stock Analysis 2026
Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice
NOG (NOG) operates in the Oil & Gas E&P space within the Energy sector. With a market cap of $2.1B, it qualifies as a small-cap company. Both revenue and profitability are declining, which raises questions about the durability of the current business model.
- Dividend yield of 9.02% provides consistent income on top of price appreciation
- Price is near its 52-week low — potential entry point with asymmetric upside
- Low beta of 0.69 — less volatile than the market, suitable for conservative portfolios
- Revenue declined 7% YoY — warning sign for business momentum
- Negative profit margin of -32.4% — company is currently unprofitable
- Negative ROE of -29.8% — shareholder equity is being eroded
- High debt-to-equity of 142.99× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates
- Current ratio below 1 (0.53×) — short-term liabilities exceed current assets
Verdict
Avoid
Significant fundamental concerns outweigh positives. High risk at current levels.
AI Insight
Powered by ClaudeAI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Related Articles
Revenue & Results
Dividends
Current DY
9.02%
5Y Avg Annual
$1.2520
Last Payment
$0.4500
Ex-Date
03/30/2026
Annual dividends paid per share
| Ex-Date | Payment | Amount | Est. DY |
|---|---|---|---|
Latest03/30/2026 | 05/01/2026 | $0.4500 | 9.13% |
12/30/2025 | 01/31/2026 | $0.4500 | 9.13% |
09/29/2025 | 10/31/2025 | $0.4500 | 9.13% |
06/27/2025 | 07/29/2025 | $0.4500 | 9.13% |
03/28/2025 | 04/29/2025 | $0.4500 | 9.13% |
12/30/2024 | 01/31/2025 | $0.4200 | 8.52% |
09/27/2024 | 10/29/2024 | $0.4200 | 8.52% |
06/27/2024 | 07/29/2024 | $0.4000 | 8.12% |
Magic Number
Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase
$19.71
Price
$0.4500
Last div. (quarterly)
44
shares
Own 44 NOG shares ($867.24) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.
Investment target
$867.24
New shares / year
+4 shares
If You Had Invested…
Hypothetical return based on historical prices
* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.
Earnings
EPS (TTM)
$-6.32
P/E (TTM)
—
Fwd P/E
4.7
Earnings History
SEC EDGAR · official filings
SEC Filings
Official EDGAR documents
Key Statistics
Valuation
Trading
Dividends
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Fair Value Estimates
Current price: $19.71
Graham Number
√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)
N/A
Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.
Bazin Ceiling Price
Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%
$19.88
Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.
These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.
Buy & Hold Checklist
Quality criteria for long-term holding
4/10
44% score
Pays dividends
5Y hist.5+ years of dividend history
Dividend consistency (5Y+)
5 yrsUninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years
ROE above 10%
-29.8%Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used
Positive profit margin
-32.4%Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends
Revenue growth (annual)
-7.1%Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year
Earnings growth (annual)
Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year
Debt/Equity below 2×
142.99×Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress
Current ratio above 1
0.53×Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities
Daily liquidity above $5M
$53M/dayHigh trading volume ensures easy entry and exit
Dividend yield above 0%
9.02%Stock must distribute income to shareholders
Related Assets
Energy
About NOG
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties in the United States. Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Minnetonka, Minnesota.