ADM- Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Consumer Defensive · Farm Products
Price & Performance
Performance
Analysis & Verdict
Analyst Ratings
HoldWall Street consensus from 10 analysts
12-Month Price Target
$80.10
Based on analyst estimates; price targets are opinions, not guarantees.
Fair Value Estimates
Current price: $86.44
Graham Number
√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)
$63.46
Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.
Bazin Ceiling Price
Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%
$29.73
Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.
These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.
Buy & Hold Checklist
Quality criteria for long-term holding
8/10
80% score
Pays dividends
15Y hist.15+ years of dividend history
Dividend consistency (5Y+)
15 yrsUninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years
ROE above 10%
7.6%Return on equity - measures how efficiently capital is used
Positive profit margin
2.2%Net profit margin must be positive - company earns more than it spends
Revenue growth (annual)
+7.2%Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year
Earnings growth (annual)
+315.6%Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year
Debt/Equity below 2×
39.13×Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress
Current ratio above 1
1.39×Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities
Daily liquidity above $5M
$323M/dayHigh trading volume ensures easy entry and exit
Dividend yield above 0%
2.40%Stock must distribute income to shareholders
Financials
Revenue & Results
Key Statistics
Earnings
Next Earnings
Nov 3, 2026
49
days
EPS (TTM)
$3.66
P/E (TTM)
23.6
Fwd P/E
15.2
SEC Filings & Reported Financials
Earnings History
SEC EDGAR · official filings
SEC Filings
Official EDGAR documents
Insider Transactions
SEC Form 4 · officers, directors & 10% owners
Dividends & Income
Dividends
Current DY
2.40%
5Y Avg Annual
$1.8000
Last Payment
$0.5200
Ex-Date
08/19/2026
Annual dividends paid per share
| Ex-Date | Payment | Amount | Est. DY |
|---|---|---|---|
Latest08/19/2026 | 09/09/2026 | $0.5200 | 2.41% |
05/20/2026 | 06/10/2026 | $0.5200 | 2.41% |
02/17/2026 | 03/10/2026 | $0.5200 | 2.41% |
11/19/2025 | 12/10/2025 | $0.5100 | 2.36% |
08/20/2025 | 09/10/2025 | $0.5100 | 2.36% |
05/21/2025 | 06/11/2025 | $0.5100 | 2.36% |
02/18/2025 | 03/11/2025 | $0.5100 | 2.36% |
11/21/2024 | 12/12/2024 | $0.5000 | 2.31% |
Magic Number
Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase
$86.44
Price
$0.5200
Last div. (quarterly)
167
shares
Own 167 ADM shares ($14,435.48) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share - the snowball runs on its own.
Investment target
$14,435.48
New shares / year
+4 shares
Dividend Calculator
2.41% yieldEstimate ADM dividend income at the current rate.
Per year
$240.63
Per month
$20.05
≈ 115.7 shares at $2.08/share a year. Estimate only - dividends can be cut or raised.
Tools & Simulators
ADM vs Peers, Indexes & Commodities
?Click a card below to plot it on the chart
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Parameters
Final value
$426,404.61
Total invested
$130,000.00
Total interest
$296,404.61
Balance over time
Period breakdown
| Period | Balance | Invested | Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Start | $10,000.00 | $10,000.00 | $0.00 |
| Year 1 | $17,270.27 | $16,000.00 | $1,270.27 |
| Year 2 | $25,267.56 | $22,000.00 | $3,267.56 |
| Year 3 | $34,064.59 | $28,000.00 | $6,064.59 |
| Year 4 | $43,741.32 | $34,000.00 | $9,741.32 |
| Year 5 | $54,385.72 | $40,000.00 | $14,385.72 |
| Year 6 | $66,094.55 | $46,000.00 | $20,094.55 |
| Year 7 | $78,974.28 | $52,000.00 | $26,974.28 |
| Year 8 | $93,141.97 | $58,000.00 | $35,141.97 |
| Year 9 | $108,726.44 | $64,000.00 | $44,726.44 |
| Year 10 | $125,869.35 | $70,000.00 | $55,869.35 |
| Year 11 | $144,726.56 | $76,000.00 | $68,726.56 |
| Year 12 | $165,469.48 | $82,000.00 | $83,469.48 |
| Year 13 | $188,286.70 | $88,000.00 | $100,286.70 |
| Year 14 | $213,385.63 | $94,000.00 | $119,385.63 |
| Year 15 | $240,994.47 | $100,000.00 | $140,994.47 |
| Year 16 | $271,364.18 | $106,000.00 | $165,364.18 |
| Year 17 | $304,770.87 | $112,000.00 | $192,770.87 |
| Year 18 | $341,518.22 | $118,000.00 | $223,518.22 |
| Year 19 | $381,940.31 | $124,000.00 | $257,940.31 |
| Year 20 | $426,404.61 | $130,000.00 | $296,404.61 |
What is compound interest?
Compound interest means that the interest you earn in one period is added to your principal, so in the next period you earn interest on a larger base. This creates exponential growth: the longer your time horizon, the more dramatic the effect.
Which rate should I use?
The S&P 500 has historically returned ~10%/year before inflation over long periods - use this for an all-equity US index fund scenario. A balanced growth portfolio (stocks + bonds) is closer to 7%. High-yield savings accounts (HYSA) are currently paying around 4-5% with FDIC insurance and zero market risk. Bonds historically return ~4% annualized.
Formula used
FV = PV × (1+r)^n + PMT × ((1+r)^n − 1) / rwhere r is the monthly rate, n is the number of months, PV is the initial investment, and PMT is the monthly contribution. Annual rates are converted to monthly viar = (1 + annual%)^(1/12) − 1.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past returns do not guarantee future results.
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About Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company engages in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, as well as the crushing and processing of oilseeds, including soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed; produces and markets vegetable oils and oilseed protein meals used by food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; sale of crude and partially refined vegetable oils; supplies peanuts and peanut-derived ingredients; and manufactures cotton cellulose pulp. It is also involved in the grain sourcing, handling, and multimodal transportation network supporting import, export, and distribution activities; structured trade finance activities; corn and wheat wet and dry milling and related processing activities; production of distillers' grains, corn gluten feed, and corn gluten meal for use as animal feed ingredients; and carbon capture and sequestration and other emissions-reduction initiatives. In addition, the company engages in the creation, manufacturing, sale, and distribution of an array of ingredients and solutions comprising plant-based proteins, flavors and colors derived from nature, flavor systems, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, probiotics, prebiotics, postbiotics, enzymes, botanical extracts, and other specialty food and feed ingredients and systems. Further, it is involved in the derivatives and commodity exchanges and clearing houses; and insurance coverage for certain property, casualty, marine, medical, and other miscellaneous risks. The company was founded in 1902 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Farm Products
Location
Chicago, United States
Employees
40,798
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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) stock trades at $86.44, down 0.32% on the day. With a market capitalization of $41.66 billion, ADM is a large-cap consumer defensive stock. It trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.6, a forward P/E of 15.2 and earnings per share (EPS) of $3.66. Over the most recent period the company reported 7% year-over-year revenue growth and a net profit margin of 2.2%. Below you'll find ADM's full fundamentals, fair-value estimates, dividend history, earnings and our buy, hold or avoid verdict for 2026.
ADM - Frequently Asked Questions
Is Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) a good stock to buy in 2026?
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) shows risks such as high leverage (debt/equity of 39.1). Whether ADM is a good buy in 2026 depends on your time horizon and risk tolerance - review the full bull case, bear case and fair-value estimates above. This is informational analysis, not financial advice.
What is ADM's stock price today?
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) trades at $86.44, down 0.32% on the session. Prices on this page update throughout the trading day.
Does ADM pay a dividend?
Yes. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company pays an annual dividend of $2.08 per share, a dividend yield of 2.40%. The most recent ex-dividend date was August 19, 2026. Its payout ratio is about 56% of earnings.
Is ADM overvalued?
With a P/E ratio of 23.6×, ADM trades at a roughly market-average valuation for the consumer defensive sector. Its PEG ratio is 1.07. See the Fair Value Estimates section above for Graham Number and dividend-based price targets.
What is ADM's market cap?
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) has a market capitalization of $41.66 billion, classifying it as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Disclaimer: This page - including any buy/hold/avoid view, fair value or price estimate - is generated from market data for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment or trading advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.