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ADM

ADM

Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

$78.13-1.44%
Mkt Cap: $37.66BDY: 2.62%

Performance

ADM (ADM) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

ADM (ADM) operates in the Farm Products space within the Consumer Defensive sector. With a market cap of $37.7B, it qualifies as a mid-cap company. Growth is moderate and the business remains profitable, offering a balanced risk/reward profile compared to high-multiple peers.

Bull Case3
  • Forward P/E (14.7×) is lower than trailing P/E (34.9×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • Dividend yield of 2.62% provides consistent income on top of price appreciation
  • Low beta of 0.60 — less volatile than the market, suitable for conservative portfolios
Bear Case3
  • P/E of 34.9× is above average — valuation requires continued strong growth to justify
  • Thin profit margin of 1.3% — little buffer against cost increases
  • High debt-to-equity of 46.13× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates

Verdict

Hold

Mixed signals — strengths and risks roughly balance. Wait for a clearer catalyst.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

2.62%

5Y Avg Annual

$1.6960

Last Payment

$0.5200

Ex-Date

05/20/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2011
2019
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest05/20/2026
06/10/2026$0.52002.66%
02/17/2026
03/10/2026$0.52002.66%
11/19/2025
12/10/2025$0.51002.61%
08/20/2025
09/10/2025$0.51002.61%
05/21/2025
06/11/2025$0.51002.61%
02/18/2025
03/11/2025$0.51002.61%
11/21/2024
12/12/2024$0.50002.56%
08/21/2024
09/11/2024$0.50002.56%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$78.13

Price

÷

$0.5200

Last div. (quarterly)

=

151

shares

Own 151 ADM shares ($11,797.63) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$11,797.63

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Aug 4, 2026

49

days

EPS (TTM)

$2.24

P/E (TTM)

34.9

Fwd P/E

14.7

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$37.66B
P/E Ratio34.88
Forward P/E14.75
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio2.54
EPS (TTM)$2.24

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$85.37
52W Low$51.34
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)3,899,339
Beta0.60

Dividends

Dividend Yield2.62%
Annual Rate$2.08
Ex-Div Date2026-05-20
Payout Ratio91.52%

Profitability

Profit Margin1.34%
Operating Margin1.27%
ROE4.77%
ROA1.67%
Revenue Growth1.60%
Earnings Growth0.90%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$80.58B
Total Debt$10.66B
Debt / Equity46.13
Current Ratio1.31
Free Cash Flow$1.58B

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $78.13

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$48.83

-37.5% downside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$29.73

-61.9% downside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

8/10

80% score

Pays dividends

15Y hist.

15+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

15 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

4.8%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

1.3%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

+1.6%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

+0.9%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

46.13×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

1.31×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$305M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

2.62%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Consumer Defensive

About ADM

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company provides human and animal nutrition ingredients and solutions in the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds; Carbohydrate Solutions; and Nutrition. The company engages in the origination, merchandising, transportation, and storage of agricultural raw materials, as well as the crushing and processing of oilseeds, including soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed; produces and markets vegetable oils and oilseed protein meals used by food, feed, energy, and industrial customers; sale of crude and partially refined vegetable oils; supplies peanuts and peanut-derived ingredients; and manufactures cotton cellulose pulp. It is also involved in the grain sourcing, handling, and multimodal transportation network supporting import, export, and distribution activities; structured trade finance activities; corn and wheat wet and dry milling and related processing activities; production of distillers' grains, corn gluten feed, and corn gluten meal for use as animal feed ingredients; and carbon capture and sequestration and other emissions-reduction initiatives. In addition, the company engages in the creation, manufacturing, sale, and distribution of an array of ingredients and solutions comprising plant-based proteins, flavors and colors derived from nature, flavor systems, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, probiotics, prebiotics, postbiotics, enzymes, botanical extracts, and other specialty food and feed ingredients and systems. Further, it is involved in the derivatives and commodity exchanges and clearing houses; and insurance coverage for certain property, casualty, marine, medical, and other miscellaneous risks. The company was founded in 1902 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

Sector

Consumer Defensive

Industry

Farm Products

Location

Chicago, United States

Employees

40,798