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PKG

PKG

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

$231.51+0.68%
Mkt Cap: $20.63BDY: 2.61%

Performance

PKG (PKG) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

PKG (PKG) operates in the Packaging & Containers space within the Consumer Cyclical sector. With a market cap of $20.6B, it qualifies as a mid-cap company. Growth is moderate and the business remains profitable, offering a balanced risk/reward profile compared to high-multiple peers.

Bull Case5
  • Forward P/E (18.9×) is lower than trailing P/E (28.1×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • Revenue growth of 11% YoY shows solid business momentum
  • ROE of 16.3% shows management efficiently converts equity into profit
  • Current ratio of 3.1× — ample short-term liquidity
  • Dividend yield of 2.61% provides consistent income on top of price appreciation
Bear Case3
  • P/E of 28.1× is above average — valuation requires continued strong growth to justify
  • Earnings fell 16% YoY — profitability is under pressure
  • High debt-to-equity of 95.19× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates

Verdict

Buy / Hold

More positives than negatives. Fundamentals support holding while monitoring key risks.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

2.61%

5Y Avg Annual

$4.5000

Last Payment

$1.5000

Ex-Date

06/15/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2011
2019
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest06/15/2026
07/15/2026$1.50002.59%
03/13/2026
04/12/2026$1.25002.16%
12/15/2025
01/14/2026$1.25002.16%
09/15/2025
10/15/2025$1.25002.16%
06/13/2025
07/13/2025$1.25002.16%
03/14/2025
04/13/2025$1.25002.16%
12/20/2024
01/19/2025$1.25002.16%
09/16/2024
10/16/2024$1.25002.16%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$231.51

Price

÷

$1.5000

Last div. (quarterly)

=

155

shares

Own 155 PKG shares ($35,884.05) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$35,884.05

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Jul 22, 2026

36

days

EPS (TTM)

$8.23

P/E (TTM)

28.1

Fwd P/E

18.9

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$20.63B
P/E Ratio28.13
Forward P/E18.89
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio1.74
EPS (TTM)$8.23

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$249.51
52W Low$184.76
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)869,274
Beta0.83

Dividends

Dividend Yield2.61%
Annual Rate$6.00
Ex-Div Date2026-06-15
Payout Ratio60.75%

Profitability

Profit Margin8.04%
Operating Margin13.45%
ROE16.31%
ROA8.37%
Revenue Growth10.60%
Earnings Growth-15.50%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$9.22B
Total Debt$4.37B
Debt / Equity95.19
Current Ratio3.07
Free Cash Flow$391.42M

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $231.51

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$97.95

-57.7% downside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$79.17

-65.8% downside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

8/10

80% score

Pays dividends

15Y hist.

15+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

15 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

16.3%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

8.0%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

+10.6%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

-15.5%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

95.19×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

3.07×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$201M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

2.61%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Consumer Cyclical

About PKG

Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products in North America. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various linerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers; and white papers. This segment sells papers through its sales and marketing organization. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.

Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Industry

Packaging & Containers

Location

Lake Forest, United States

Employees

16,800