FLY- Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Price & Performance
Performance
Analysis & Verdict
Analyst Ratings
BuyWall Street consensus from 10 analysts
12-Month Price Target
$38.60
Based on analyst estimates; price targets are opinions, not guarantees.
Fair Value Estimates
Current price: $21.36
Graham Number
√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)
N/A
Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.
Bazin Ceiling Price
Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%
N/A
Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.
These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.
Buy & Hold Checklist
Quality criteria for long-term holding
3/10
43% score
Pays dividends
No dividend history found
Dividend consistency (5Y+)
Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years
ROE above 10%
-58.0%Return on equity - measures how efficiently capital is used
Positive profit margin
-129.1%Net profit margin must be positive - company earns more than it spends
Revenue growth (annual)
+656.9%Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year
Earnings growth (annual)
Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year
Debt/Equity below 2×
4.37×Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress
Current ratio above 1
2.73×Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities
Daily liquidity above $5M
$82M/dayHigh trading volume ensures easy entry and exit
Dividend yield above 0%
Stock must distribute income to shareholders
Financials
Revenue & Results
Key Statistics
Earnings
Next Earnings
Nov 11, 2026
57
days
EPS (TTM)
$-4.94
P/E (TTM)
-
Fwd P/E
-11.9
SEC Filings & Reported Financials
Earnings History
SEC EDGAR · official filings
SEC Filings
Official EDGAR documents
Insider Transactions
SEC Form 4 · officers, directors & 10% owners
Dividends & Income
Dividends
This stock does not pay dividends.
Tools & Simulators
FLY vs Peers, Indexes & Commodities
?Click a card below to plot it on the chart
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Parameters
Final value
$426,404.61
Total invested
$130,000.00
Total interest
$296,404.61
Balance over time
Period breakdown
| Period | Balance | Invested | Interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Start | $10,000.00 | $10,000.00 | $0.00 |
| Year 1 | $17,270.27 | $16,000.00 | $1,270.27 |
| Year 2 | $25,267.56 | $22,000.00 | $3,267.56 |
| Year 3 | $34,064.59 | $28,000.00 | $6,064.59 |
| Year 4 | $43,741.32 | $34,000.00 | $9,741.32 |
| Year 5 | $54,385.72 | $40,000.00 | $14,385.72 |
| Year 6 | $66,094.55 | $46,000.00 | $20,094.55 |
| Year 7 | $78,974.28 | $52,000.00 | $26,974.28 |
| Year 8 | $93,141.97 | $58,000.00 | $35,141.97 |
| Year 9 | $108,726.44 | $64,000.00 | $44,726.44 |
| Year 10 | $125,869.35 | $70,000.00 | $55,869.35 |
| Year 11 | $144,726.56 | $76,000.00 | $68,726.56 |
| Year 12 | $165,469.48 | $82,000.00 | $83,469.48 |
| Year 13 | $188,286.70 | $88,000.00 | $100,286.70 |
| Year 14 | $213,385.63 | $94,000.00 | $119,385.63 |
| Year 15 | $240,994.47 | $100,000.00 | $140,994.47 |
| Year 16 | $271,364.18 | $106,000.00 | $165,364.18 |
| Year 17 | $304,770.87 | $112,000.00 | $192,770.87 |
| Year 18 | $341,518.22 | $118,000.00 | $223,518.22 |
| Year 19 | $381,940.31 | $124,000.00 | $257,940.31 |
| Year 20 | $426,404.61 | $130,000.00 | $296,404.61 |
What is compound interest?
Compound interest means that the interest you earn in one period is added to your principal, so in the next period you earn interest on a larger base. This creates exponential growth: the longer your time horizon, the more dramatic the effect.
Which rate should I use?
The S&P 500 has historically returned ~10%/year before inflation over long periods - use this for an all-equity US index fund scenario. A balanced growth portfolio (stocks + bonds) is closer to 7%. High-yield savings accounts (HYSA) are currently paying around 4-5% with FDIC insurance and zero market risk. Bonds historically return ~4% annualized.
Formula used
FV = PV × (1+r)^n + PMT × ((1+r)^n − 1) / rwhere r is the monthly rate, n is the number of months, PV is the initial investment, and PMT is the monthly contribution. Annual rates are converted to monthly viar = (1 + annual%)^(1/12) − 1.
For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past returns do not guarantee future results.
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About Firefly Aerospace Inc.
Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers in United States. The company offers integrated launch and space services technology that is committed to enabling launch, transit, and operations in space. It also provides Launch solutions, such as Alpha, a responsive launch services; and Eclipse, a medium-lift launch vehicles. In addition, the company offers spacecraft solutions platforms, including Blue Ghost, a lunar delivery and operation service; and Elytra, which provides space maneuverability and servicing. Further, it provides software and sensor solutions; national security software and big data processing capabilities; and responsive space services, as well as Ocula, a lunar imaging service. Firefly Aerospace Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Leander, Texas.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Location
Leander, United States
Employees
1,409
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Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) stock trades at $21.36, up 1.09% on the day. With a market capitalization of $3.58 billion, FLY is a mid-cap industrials stock. It trades at earnings per share (EPS) of $-4.94. Over the most recent period the company reported 657% year-over-year revenue growth and a net profit margin of -129.1%. Below you'll find FLY's full fundamentals, fair-value estimates, dividend history, earnings and our buy, hold or avoid verdict for 2026.
FLY - Frequently Asked Questions
Is Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) a good stock to buy in 2026?
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) shows strengths such as revenue growth of 657%, while risks include negative profit margins and high leverage (debt/equity of 4.4). Whether FLY is a good buy in 2026 depends on your time horizon and risk tolerance - review the full bull case, bear case and fair-value estimates above. This is informational analysis, not financial advice.
What is FLY's stock price today?
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) trades at $21.36, up 1.09% on the session. Prices on this page update throughout the trading day.
Does FLY pay a dividend?
No. Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) does not currently pay a dividend, so the return comes entirely from share-price appreciation.
What is FLY's market cap?
Firefly Aerospace Inc. (FLY) has a market capitalization of $3.58 billion, classifying it as a mid-cap stock in the Industrials sector.
Disclaimer: This page - including any buy/hold/avoid view, fair value or price estimate - is generated from market data for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment or trading advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.