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AES

AES

Utilities · Utilities - Diversified

$14.66-0.10%
Mkt Cap: $10.46BDY: 4.79%

Performance

AES (AES) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

AES (AES) operates in the Utilities - Diversified space within the Utilities sector. With a market cap of $10.5B, it qualifies as a mid-cap company. Growth is moderate and the business remains profitable, offering a balanced risk/reward profile compared to high-multiple peers.

Bull Case6
  • Low P/E of 7.6× suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to earnings
  • Forward P/E (6.2×) is lower than trailing P/E (7.6×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • Revenue growth of 9% YoY shows solid business momentum
  • Earnings grew 951% YoY — bottom-line is expanding fast
  • Healthy profit margin of 10.8%
  • Dividend yield of 4.79% provides consistent income on top of price appreciation
Bear Case2
  • High debt-to-equity of 259.60× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates
  • Current ratio below 1 (0.73×) — short-term liabilities exceed current assets

Verdict

Strong Buy

Multiple fundamental strengths with few red flags. Long-term buyers may find this compelling.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

4.79%

5Y Avg Annual

$0.6088

Last Payment

$0.1760

Ex-Date

05/01/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2012
2019
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest05/01/2026
05/15/2026$0.17604.80%
01/30/2026
02/13/2026$0.17604.80%
10/31/2025
11/14/2025$0.17604.80%
08/01/2025
08/15/2025$0.17604.80%
05/01/2025
05/15/2025$0.17604.80%
01/31/2025
02/14/2025$0.17604.80%
11/01/2024
11/15/2024$0.17304.72%
08/01/2024
08/15/2024$0.17304.72%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$14.67

Price

÷

$0.1760

Last div. (quarterly)

=

84

shares

Own 84 AES shares ($1,231.86) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$1,231.86

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Jul 30, 2026

44

days

EPS (TTM)

$1.92

P/E (TTM)

7.6

Fwd P/E

6.2

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$10.46B
P/E Ratio7.64
Forward P/E6.16
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio0.81
EPS (TTM)$1.92

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$17.65
52W Low$10.02
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)10,906,314
Beta0.95

Dividends

Dividend Yield4.79%
Annual Rate$0.70
Ex-Div Date2026-05-01
Payout Ratio36.66%

Profitability

Profit Margin10.82%
Operating Margin18.74%
ROE5.26%
ROA2.71%
Revenue Growth8.70%
Earnings Growth951.10%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$12.49B
Total Debt$31.80B
Debt / Equity259.60
Current Ratio0.73
Free Cash Flow$-2,964,999,936

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $14.66

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$16.36

+11.6% upside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$10.99

-25.1% downside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

7/10

70% score

Pays dividends

14Y hist.

14+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

14 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

5.3%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

10.8%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

+8.7%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

+951.1%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

259.60×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

0.73×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$160M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

4.79%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Utilities

About AES

The AES Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a power generation and utility company. It operates through four segments: Renewables, Utilities, Energy Infrastructure, and New Energy Technologies. The company owns and/or operates power plants to generate and sell power to customers, such as utilities, industrial users, and other intermediaries; owns and/or operates utilities to generate or purchase, distribute, transmit, and sell electricity to end-user customers in the residential, commercial, industrial, and governmental sectors; and generates and sells electricity on the wholesale market, as well as investments in technologies to support leading-edge greener energy solutions. It uses various fuels and technologies to generate electricity, such as solar, hydro, wind, coal, and gas, as well as renewables comprising energy storage and landfill gas. The company owns and/or operates a generation portfolio of approximately 34,740 megawatts and distributes power to 2.7 million customers. The company operates in the United States, Chile, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Mexico, Bulgaria, Panama, Colombia, Argentina, Vietnam, Jordan, Puerto Rico, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Applied Energy Services, Inc. and changed its name to The AES Corporation in April 2000. The AES Corporation was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Arlington, Virginia.

Sector

Utilities

Industry

Utilities - Diversified

Location

Arlington, United States

Employees

8,336