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XPO

XPO

Industrials · Trucking

$216.44-1.95%
Mkt Cap: $25.41B

Performance

XPO (XPO) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

XPO (XPO) operates in the Trucking space within the Industrials sector. With a market cap of $25.4B, it qualifies as a mid-cap company. Growth is moderate and the business remains profitable, offering a balanced risk/reward profile compared to high-multiple peers.

Bull Case4
  • Forward P/E (36.1×) is lower than trailing P/E (74.4×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • Revenue growth of 7% YoY shows solid business momentum
  • Earnings grew 47% YoY — bottom-line is expanding fast
  • ROE of 19.9% shows management efficiently converts equity into profit
Bear Case7
  • High P/E of 74.4× implies high expectations already priced in — leaves little room for disappointment
  • Thin profit margin of 4.2% — little buffer against cost increases
  • High debt-to-equity of 221.07× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates
  • Current ratio below 1 (0.99×) — short-term liabilities exceed current assets
  • No dividend history — total return depends entirely on price appreciation
  • Price is near its 52-week high — limited near-term upside, higher pullback risk
  • High beta of 1.64 — this stock is significantly more volatile than the broader market

Verdict

Avoid

Significant fundamental concerns outweigh positives. High risk at current levels.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

This stock does not pay dividends.

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Jul 30, 2026

44

days

EPS (TTM)

$2.91

P/E (TTM)

74.4

Fwd P/E

36.1

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$25.41B
P/E Ratio74.38
Forward P/E36.07
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio2.53
EPS (TTM)$2.91

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$232.05
52W Low$116.68
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)1,491,322
Beta1.64

Dividends

Dividend Yield
Annual Rate
Ex-Div Date
Payout Ratio0.00%

Profitability

Profit Margin4.19%
Operating Margin8.78%
ROE19.94%
ROA5.96%
Revenue Growth7.30%
Earnings Growth46.60%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$8.30B
Total Debt$4.09B
Debt / Equity221.07
Current Ratio0.99
Free Cash Flow$323.75M

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $216.44

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$32.28

-85.1% downside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

N/A

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

5/10

63% score

Pays dividends

No dividend history found

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

19.9%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

4.2%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

+7.3%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

+46.6%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

221.07×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

0.99×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$323M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Industrials

About XPO

XPO, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. The company operates in two segments, North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean. The European Transportation segment offers dedicated truckload, LTL, truck brokerage, managed transportation, last mile, freight forwarding, and warehousing and multimodal solutions to an extensive base of customers within the consumer, trade, and industrial markets. The company was formerly known as XPO Logistics, Inc. and changed its name to XPO, Inc. in December 2022. The company was founded in 1989 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Trucking

Location

Greenwich, United States

Employees

37,000