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TRN

TRN

Industrials · Railroads

$35.22+1.21%
Mkt Cap: $2.80BDY: 3.56%

Performance

TRN (TRN) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

TRN (TRN) operates in the Railroads space within the Industrials sector. With a market cap of $2.8B, it qualifies as a small-cap company. Revenue has been contracting year-over-year, a headwind that investors will watch closely in upcoming earnings.

Bull Case5
  • Low P/E of 11.1× suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to earnings
  • Healthy profit margin of 12.4%
  • ROE of 23.1% shows management efficiently converts equity into profit
  • Current ratio of 2.2× — ample short-term liquidity
  • Dividend yield of 3.56% provides consistent income on top of price appreciation
Bear Case3
  • Revenue declined 16% YoY — warning sign for business momentum
  • High debt-to-equity of 470.59× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates
  • Price is near its 52-week high — limited near-term upside, higher pullback risk

Verdict

Buy / Hold

More positives than negatives. Fundamentals support holding while monitoring key risks.

AI Insight

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AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

3.56%

5Y Avg Annual

$0.9800

Last Payment

$0.3100

Ex-Date

04/15/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2011
2019
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest04/15/2026
05/01/2026$0.31003.52%
01/15/2026
01/31/2026$0.31003.52%
10/15/2025
10/31/2025$0.30003.41%
07/15/2025
07/31/2025$0.30003.41%
04/15/2025
05/01/2025$0.30003.41%
01/15/2025
01/31/2025$0.30003.41%
10/15/2024
10/31/2024$0.28003.18%
07/15/2024
07/31/2024$0.28003.18%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$35.22

Price

÷

$0.3100

Last div. (quarterly)

=

114

shares

Own 114 TRN shares ($4,015.08) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$4,015.08

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Jul 30, 2026

44

days

EPS (TTM)

$3.17

P/E (TTM)

11.1

Fwd P/E

14.8

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$2.80B
P/E Ratio11.11
Forward P/E14.83
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio0.69
EPS (TTM)$3.17

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$37.36
52W Low$22.38
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)702,417
Beta1.36

Dividends

Dividend Yield3.56%
Annual Rate$1.24
Ex-Div Date2026-07-15
Payout Ratio38.17%

Profitability

Profit Margin12.37%
Operating Margin15.89%
ROE23.07%
ROA2.53%
Revenue Growth-16.00%
Earnings Growth11.50%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$2.06B
Total Debt$5.39B
Debt / Equity470.59
Current Ratio2.16
Free Cash Flow$-457,024,992

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $35.22

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$31.03

-11.9% downside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$17.07

-51.5% downside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

8/10

80% score

Pays dividends

15Y hist.

15+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

15 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

23.1%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

12.4%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

-16.0%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

+11.5%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

470.59×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

2.16×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$25M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

3.56%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Industrials

About TRN

Trinity Industries, Inc. provides railcar products and services under the TrinityRail trade name in North America. The company operates in two segments, Railcar Leasing and Services Group, and Rail Products Group. The Railcar Leasing and Services Group segment leases freight and tank railcars; originates and manages railcar leases for third-party investors; and provides fleet leasing, management, and administrative services, as well as railcar maintenance and modification services, and other railcar logistics products and services. As of December 31, 2025, it had a fleet of 101,485 railcars. This segment serves industrial shipper and railroad companies operating in refined products and chemicals, energy, agriculture, construction and metals, and consumer products. The Rail Products Group segment manufactures freight and tank railcars for transporting various liquids, gases, and dry cargo; and manufactures and sells railcars and related parts and components. This segment serves railroads, leasing companies, and industrial shippers of products in the refined products and chemicals, energy, agriculture, construction and metals, and consumer products markets. It sells or leases products and services through its own sales personnel and independent sales representatives. The company was incorporated in 1933 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Railroads

Location

Dallas, United States

Employees

6,110