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ODFL

ODFL

Industrials · Trucking

$233.24-1.76%
Mkt Cap: $48.51BDY: 0.49%

Performance

ODFL (ODFL) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

ODFL (ODFL) operates in the Trucking space within the Industrials sector. With a market cap of $48.5B, it qualifies as a mid-cap company. Revenue has been contracting year-over-year, a headwind that investors will watch closely in upcoming earnings.

Bull Case3
  • Forward P/E (36.8×) is lower than trailing P/E (48.6×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • Healthy profit margin of 18.5%
  • ROE of 23.3% shows management efficiently converts equity into profit
Bear Case4
  • High P/E of 48.6× implies high expectations already priced in — leaves little room for disappointment
  • Revenue declined 3% YoY — warning sign for business momentum
  • Earnings fell 4% YoY — profitability is under pressure
  • Price is near its 52-week high — limited near-term upside, higher pullback risk

Verdict

Caution

More risks than strengths. Consider waiting for fundamentals to improve before adding.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

0.49%

5Y Avg Annual

$0.8280

Last Payment

$0.2900

Ex-Date

06/03/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2017
2022
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest06/03/2026
06/17/2026$0.29000.50%
03/04/2026
03/18/2026$0.29000.50%
12/03/2025
12/17/2025$0.28000.48%
09/03/2025
09/17/2025$0.28000.48%
06/04/2025
06/18/2025$0.28000.48%
03/05/2025
03/19/2025$0.28000.48%
12/04/2024
12/18/2024$0.26000.45%
09/04/2024
09/18/2024$0.26000.45%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$233.24

Price

÷

$0.2900

Last div. (quarterly)

=

805

shares

Own 805 ODFL shares ($187,758.20) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$187,758.20

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Jul 29, 2026

43

days

EPS (TTM)

$4.80

P/E (TTM)

48.6

Fwd P/E

36.8

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$48.51B
P/E Ratio48.59
Forward P/E36.78
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio3.51
EPS (TTM)$4.80

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$252.03
52W Low$126.01
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)2,036,277
Beta1.18

Dividends

Dividend Yield0.49%
Annual Rate$1.16
Ex-Div Date2026-06-03
Payout Ratio23.59%

Profitability

Profit Margin18.46%
Operating Margin23.78%
ROE23.33%
ROA15.03%
Revenue Growth-2.90%
Earnings Growth-4.20%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$5.46B
Total Debt$40.00M
Debt / Equity0.91
Current Ratio1.56
Free Cash Flow$861.99M

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $233.24

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$47.78

-79.5% downside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$13.20

-94.3% downside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

8/10

80% score

Pays dividends

9Y hist.

9+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

9 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

23.3%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

18.5%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

-2.9%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

-4.2%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

0.91×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

1.56×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$475M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

0.49%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Industrials

About ODFL

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation services. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. In addition, the company operates fleet maintenance centers. As of December 31, 2025, it owned and operated 10,184 tractors, 30,824 linehaul trailers, and 14,313 pickup and delivery trailers. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina.

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Trucking

Location

Thomasville, United States

Employees

20,264