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MAT

MAT

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

$14.36+0.03%
Mkt Cap: $4.17B

Performance

MAT (MAT) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

MAT (MAT) operates in the Leisure space within the Consumer Cyclical sector. With a market cap of $4.2B, it qualifies as a small-cap company. Growth is moderate and the business remains profitable, offering a balanced risk/reward profile compared to high-multiple peers.

Bull Case5
  • Low P/E of 9.2× suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to earnings
  • Forward P/E (9.0×) is lower than trailing P/E (9.2×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • ROE of 23.6% shows management efficiently converts equity into profit
  • Current ratio of 2.1× — ample short-term liquidity
  • Price is near its 52-week low — potential entry point with asymmetric upside
Bear Case1
  • High debt-to-equity of 127.02× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates

Verdict

Strong Buy

Multiple fundamental strengths with few red flags. Long-term buyers may find this compelling.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

5Y Avg Annual

$1.3820

Last Payment

$0.1500

Ex-Date

08/21/2017

Annual dividends paid per share

2013
2017
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest08/21/2017
09/15/2017$0.15004.18%
05/17/2017
06/11/2017$0.380010.59%
02/14/2017
03/11/2017$0.380010.59%
11/18/2016
12/13/2016$0.380010.59%
08/19/2016
09/13/2016$0.380010.59%
05/17/2016
06/11/2016$0.380010.59%
02/12/2016
03/08/2016$0.380010.59%
11/23/2015
12/18/2015$0.380010.59%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$14.36

Price

÷

$0.1500

Last div. (quarterly)

=

96

shares

Own 96 MAT shares ($1,378.08) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$1,378.08

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Jul 22, 2026

36

days

EPS (TTM)

$1.56

P/E (TTM)

9.2

Fwd P/E

9.0

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$4.17B
P/E Ratio9.20
Forward P/E9.04
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio1.15
EPS (TTM)$1.56

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$22.48
52W Low$13.95
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)4,484,987
Beta0.73

Dividends

Dividend Yield
Annual Rate
Ex-Div Date2017-08-21
Payout Ratio0.00%

Profitability

Profit Margin9.27%
Operating Margin-9.19%
ROE23.56%
ROA5.39%
Revenue Growth4.30%
Earnings Growth

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$5.38B
Total Debt$2.68B
Debt / Equity127.02
Current Ratio2.06
Free Cash Flow$311.72M

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $14.36

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$15.95

+11.1% upside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$23.03

+60.5% upside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

7/10

88% score

Pays dividends

15Y hist.

15+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

15 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

23.6%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

9.3%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

+4.3%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

127.02×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

2.06×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$64M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Consumer Cyclical

About MAT

Mattel, Inc., a play and family entertainment company, designs, manufactures, markets, and sells toys, games, and other products in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers dolls and accessories, books, content, and lifestyle products for children under the Barbie, American Girl, Disney Princess, Disney Frozen, Monster High, Polly Pocket, and KPop Demon Hunters brands; die-cast vehicles, tracks, playsets, and accessories for kids, adults, and collectors under the Hot Wheels, Hot Wheels Monster Trucks, Hot Wheels RC, Matchbox, and Matchbox, and Cars brands; and infant, toddler, and preschool products comprising toys, content, live events, and other consumer products under the Fisher-Price, Little People, Thomas & Friends, and Power Wheels brands. It also provides action figures, building sets, games, and other products under the Masters of the Universe, Mattel Brick Shop, MEGA, UNO, Jurassic World, Minecraft, WWE, Toy Story, Star Wars, Pictionary, Skip-Bo, Phase 10, and Blokus brands; and licensor partner brands, including Disney Pixar, Microsoft, NBCUniversal, and WWE. The company sells its products to retailers, including omnichannel retailers, discount and free-standing toy stores, chain stores, department stores, and other retail outlets; wholesalers; and directly to consumers through retail spaces, boutique stores, agents and distributors, and its e-commerce platforms and third-party e-commerce channels. Mattel, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in El Segundo, California.

Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Industry

Leisure

Location

El Segundo, United States

Employees

31,000