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LW

LW

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

$44.97-0.99%
Mkt Cap: $6.21BDY: 3.35%

Performance

LW (LW) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

LW (LW) operates in the Packaged Foods space within the Consumer Defensive sector. With a market cap of $6.2B, it qualifies as a small-cap company. Growth is moderate and the business remains profitable, offering a balanced risk/reward profile compared to high-multiple peers.

Bull Case5
  • Forward P/E (15.0×) is lower than trailing P/E (21.1×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • ROE of 17.4% shows management efficiently converts equity into profit
  • Dividend yield of 3.35% provides consistent income on top of price appreciation
  • Price is near its 52-week low — potential entry point with asymmetric upside
  • Low beta of 0.46 — less volatile than the market, suitable for conservative portfolios
Bear Case3
  • Earnings fell 62% YoY — profitability is under pressure
  • Thin profit margin of 4.6% — little buffer against cost increases
  • High debt-to-equity of 220.06× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates

Verdict

Buy / Hold

More positives than negatives. Fundamentals support holding while monitoring key risks.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

3.35%

5Y Avg Annual

$1.1560

Last Payment

$0.3800

Ex-Date

05/08/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2017
2022
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest05/08/2026
06/05/2026$0.38003.38%
01/30/2026
02/27/2026$0.38003.38%
10/31/2025
11/28/2025$0.37003.29%
08/01/2025
08/29/2025$0.37003.29%
05/02/2025
05/30/2025$0.37003.29%
01/31/2025
02/28/2025$0.37003.29%
11/01/2024
11/29/2024$0.36003.20%
08/02/2024
08/30/2024$0.36003.20%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$44.97

Price

÷

$0.3800

Last div. (quarterly)

=

119

shares

Own 119 LW shares ($5,351.43) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$5,351.43

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

EPS (TTM)

$2.13

P/E (TTM)

21.1

Fwd P/E

15.0

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$6.21B
P/E Ratio21.11
Forward P/E14.97
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio1.03
EPS (TTM)$2.13

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$67.07
52W Low$37.62
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)2,484,671
Beta0.46

Dividends

Dividend Yield3.35%
Annual Rate$1.52
Ex-Div Date2026-05-08
Payout Ratio69.95%

Profitability

Profit Margin4.61%
Operating Margin10.93%
ROE17.36%
ROA6.34%
Revenue Growth2.90%
Earnings Growth-62.20%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$6.52B
Total Debt$4.02B
Debt / Equity220.06
Current Ratio1.46
Free Cash Flow$596.99M

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $44.97

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$25.10

-44.2% downside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$19.87

-55.8% downside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

8/10

80% score

Pays dividends

9Y hist.

9+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

9 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

17.4%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

4.6%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

+2.9%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

-62.2%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

220.06×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

1.46×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$112M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

3.35%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Consumer Defensive

About LW

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels. The company also provides its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well as under retailers' own brands. It sells its products through a network of internal sales personnel and independent brokers, agents, and distributors to quick service and full-service restaurants and chains, wholesale, grocery, mass merchants, club retailers, and specialty retailers, as well as foodservice distributors and institutions, including businesses, educational institutions, independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Eagle, Idaho.

Sector

Consumer Defensive

Industry

Packaged Foods

Location

Eagle, United States

Employees

10,100