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BBAI

BBAI

Technology · Information Technology Services

$3.95-2.47%
Mkt Cap: $1.89B

Performance

BBAI (BBAI) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

BBAI (BBAI) operates in the Information Technology Services space within the Technology sector. With a market cap of $1.9B, it qualifies as a small-cap company. Both revenue and profitability are declining, which raises questions about the durability of the current business model.

Bull Case2
  • Current ratio of 6.1× — ample short-term liquidity
  • Price is near its 52-week low — potential entry point with asymmetric upside
Bear Case6
  • Revenue declined 1% YoY — warning sign for business momentum
  • Negative profit margin of -226.7% — company is currently unprofitable
  • Negative ROE of -58.4% — shareholder equity is being eroded
  • High debt-to-equity of 3.05× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates
  • No dividend history — total return depends entirely on price appreciation
  • High beta of 3.08 — this stock is significantly more volatile than the broader market

Verdict

Avoid

Significant fundamental concerns outweigh positives. High risk at current levels.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

This stock does not pay dividends.

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

EPS (TTM)

$-0.69

P/E (TTM)

Fwd P/E

-19.7

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$1.89B
P/E Ratio
Forward P/E-19.75
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio
EPS (TTM)$-0.69

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$9.39
52W Low$3.01
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)38,335,828
Beta3.08

Dividends

Dividend Yield
Annual Rate
Ex-Div Date
Payout Ratio0.00%

Profitability

Profit Margin-226.69%
Operating Margin-66.90%
ROE-58.43%
ROA-7.73%
Revenue Growth-0.90%
Earnings Growth

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$127.35M
Total Debt$24.11M
Debt / Equity3.05
Current Ratio6.08
Free Cash Flow$-59,485,124

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $3.95

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

N/A

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

N/A

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

2/10

29% score

Pays dividends

No dividend history found

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

-58.4%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

-226.7%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

-0.9%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

3.05×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

6.08×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$151M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Technology

About BBAI

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions for national security, supply chain management, and digital identity markets. It offers supply chain and logistics solutions, such as Data Conflation at Scale, which offers a view of operations enabling real-time tracking of inventory and facilitating predictive analytics to optimize functions, including routes and delivery times; Discrete Event Simulation, a course of action analysis and digital twin solution; and Next-Gen Decision Support solution for macroeconomic and geopolitical forecasting. The company also provides cybersecurity solutions, such as artificial intelligence (AI)-powered/machine-accelerated binary analysis, cyber-physical systems vulnerability testing and evaluation, vulnerability assessment as a service, and specialized services for the department of defense and intelligence community; and autonomous systems solutions, AI/machine learning (ML) decision intelligence solutions, and AI orchestration as a service, as well as specialized consulting services. In addition, it offers digital identity services comprising security solutions specializing in customized digital identity, biometrics, AI/ML, and advanced analytics software and solutions for global trade, travel, and digital identity industries; and Ask Sage Platform, a generative AI platform for secure AI deployment, orchestration, and agentic capabilities across defense, intelligence, and other highly regulated environments. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

Sector

Technology

Industry

Information Technology Services

Location

McLean, United States

Employees

579