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BABA

BABAAlibaba Group Holding Limited

NYSE

Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

$104.97-1.99%
Mkt Cap: $251.84BDY: 0.98%

Performance

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) operates in the Internet Retail space within the Consumer Cyclical sector. With a market cap of $251.8B, it qualifies as a large-cap company. Growth is moderate and the business remains profitable, offering a balanced risk/reward profile compared to high-multiple peers.

Bull Case5
  • Forward P/E (11.4×) is lower than trailing P/E (16.1×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • Earnings grew 104% YoY — bottom-line is expanding fast
  • Healthy profit margin of 10.1%
  • Price is near its 52-week low — potential entry point with asymmetric upside
  • Low beta of 0.46 — less volatile than the market, suitable for conservative portfolios
Bear Case1
  • High debt-to-equity of 25.01× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates

Verdict

Strong Buy

Multiple fundamental strengths with few red flags. Long-term buyers may find this compelling.

AI Insight

Powered by Claude

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Related Articles

Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

0.98%

5Y Avg Annual

$1.1420

Last Payment

$1.0500

Ex-Date

06/11/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest06/11/2026
07/13/2026$1.05004.00%
06/12/2025
07/14/2025$2.00007.62%
06/13/2024
07/15/2024$1.66006.33%
12/20/2023
01/21/2024$1.00003.81%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$104.97

Price

÷

$1.0500

Last div. (yearly)

=

100

shares

Own 100 BABA shares ($10,497.00) and each yearly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$10,497.00

New shares / year

+1 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Aug 28, 2026

66

days

EPS (TTM)

$6.51

P/E (TTM)

16.1

Fwd P/E

11.4

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$251.84B
P/E Ratio16.12
Forward P/E11.39
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio0.37
EPS (TTM)$6.51

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$192.67
52W Low$103.71
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)11,107,829
Beta0.46

Dividends

Dividend Yield0.98%
Annual Rate$1.05
Ex-Div Date2026-06-11
Payout Ratio17.12%

Profitability

Profit Margin10.12%
Operating Margin1.01%
ROE9.22%
ROA2.12%
Revenue Growth2.90%
Earnings Growth104.10%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$1.02T
Total Debt$281.72B
Debt / Equity25.01
Current Ratio1.28
Free Cash Flow$-44,074,250,240

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $104.97

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$99.36

-5.3% downside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$25.89

-75.3% downside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

7/10

70% score

Pays dividends

3Y hist.

3+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

3 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

9.2%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

10.1%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

+2.9%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

+104.1%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

25.01×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

1.28×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$1.2B/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

0.98%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Consumer Cyclical

About Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through the Alibaba China E-Commerce Group, Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group, Cloud Intelligence Group, and All Others segments. The Alibaba China E-commerce Group segment operates Taobao and Tmall, which are digital retail platforms; Taobao Instant Commerce, a local services and on-demand delivery platform; 1688.com, a domestic wholesale marketplace; and Xianyu, a consumer-to-consumer community and marketplace for idle goods. Its Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group segment includes AliExpress, a global e-commerce platform; Trendyol, an e-commerce platform in Turkey; Lazada, an e-commerce platform in Southeast Asia; Daraz, an e-commerce platform in South Asia, primarily in Pakistan and Bangladesh; and Alibaba.com, an integrated international online wholesale marketplace. The Cloud Intelligence Group segment offers a suite of cloud services based on infrastructure-as-a-service, platform-as-a-service, and model-as-a-service. Its All Others segment comprises Amap, a provider of mobile digital maps, navigation, and real-time traffic information in China; Cainiao, which provides logistics solutions; Youku, an online long-form video platform in China; Freshippo, a retail platform for groceries and fresh goods; and Alibaba Health, a pharmaceutical and healthcare services platform. Alibaba Group Holding Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, China.

Sector

Consumer Cyclical

Industry

Internet Retail

Location

Hangzhou, China

Employees

131,462

Listed on NYSE

Disclaimer: This page — including any buy/hold/avoid view, fair value or price estimate — is generated from market data for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment or trading advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision.