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AOS

AOS

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

$60.55+0.88%
Mkt Cap: $8.35BDY: 2.37%

Performance

AOS (AOS) Stock Analysis 2026

Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice

AOS (AOS) operates in the Specialty Industrial Machinery space within the Industrials sector. With a market cap of $8.3B, it qualifies as a small-cap company. Revenue has been contracting year-over-year, a headwind that investors will watch closely in upcoming earnings.

Bull Case5
  • Forward P/E (14.5×) is lower than trailing P/E (16.1×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
  • Healthy profit margin of 13.8%
  • ROE of 28.3% shows management efficiently converts equity into profit
  • Dividend yield of 2.37% provides consistent income on top of price appreciation
  • Price is near its 52-week low — potential entry point with asymmetric upside
Bear Case3
  • Revenue declined 2% YoY — warning sign for business momentum
  • Earnings fell 11% YoY — profitability is under pressure
  • High debt-to-equity of 34.98× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates

Verdict

Buy / Hold

More positives than negatives. Fundamentals support holding while monitoring key risks.

AI Insight

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AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

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Revenue & Results

Dividends

Current DY

2.37%

5Y Avg Annual

$1.1520

Last Payment

$0.3600

Ex-Date

04/30/2026

Annual dividends paid per share

2011
2019
2026
Ex-DatePaymentAmountEst. DY
Latest04/30/2026
05/15/2026$0.36002.38%
01/30/2026
02/14/2026$0.36002.38%
10/31/2025
11/15/2025$0.36002.38%
07/31/2025
08/15/2025$0.34002.25%
04/30/2025
05/15/2025$0.34002.25%
01/31/2025
02/15/2025$0.34002.25%
10/31/2024
11/15/2024$0.34002.25%
07/31/2024
08/15/2024$0.32002.11%

Magic Number

Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase

$60.55

Price

÷

$0.3600

Last div. (quarterly)

=

169

shares

Own 169 AOS shares ($10,232.95) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.

Investment target

$10,232.95

New shares / year

+4 shares

If You Had Invested…

Hypothetical return based on historical prices

$

* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.

Earnings

Next Earnings

Jul 30, 2026

44

days

EPS (TTM)

$3.75

P/E (TTM)

16.1

Fwd P/E

14.5

Earnings History

SEC EDGAR · official filings

SEC filings

SEC Filings

Official EDGAR documents

All filings

Key Statistics

Valuation

Market Cap$8.35B
P/E Ratio16.15
Forward P/E14.51
P/B Ratio
PEG Ratio1.55
EPS (TTM)$3.75

Trading

Open
Day High
Day Low
52W High$81.87
52W Low$54.16
Volume
Avg Volume (3M)1,639,544
Beta1.18

Dividends

Dividend Yield2.37%
Annual Rate$1.42
Ex-Div Date2026-04-30
Payout Ratio37.33%

Profitability

Profit Margin13.84%
Operating Margin17.11%
ROE28.27%
ROA12.78%
Revenue Growth-1.90%
Earnings Growth-10.50%

Balance Sheet

Total Revenue$3.81B
Total Debt$656.90M
Debt / Equity34.98
Current Ratio1.56
Free Cash Flow$495.61M

Fair Value Estimates

Current price: $60.55

Graham Number

√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)

$33.91

-44.0% downside

Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.

Bazin Ceiling Price

Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%

$20.33

-66.4% downside

Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.

These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.

Buy & Hold Checklist

Quality criteria for long-term holding

7/10

70% score

Pays dividends

15Y hist.

15+ years of dividend history

Dividend consistency (5Y+)

15 yrs

Uninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years

ROE above 10%

28.3%

Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used

Positive profit margin

13.8%

Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends

Revenue growth (annual)

-1.9%

Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year

Earnings growth (annual)

-10.5%

Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year

Debt/Equity below 2×

34.98×

Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress

Current ratio above 1

1.56×

Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities

Daily liquidity above $5M

$99M/day

High trading volume ensures easy entry and exit

Dividend yield above 0%

2.37%

Stock must distribute income to shareholders

Related Assets

Industrials

About AOS

A. O. Smith Corporation manufactures and markets residential and commercial gas and electric water heaters, boilers, heat pumps, tanks, and water treatment products in North America, China, Europe, and India. The company offers water heaters for residences, restaurants, hotels, office buildings, laundries, car washes, and small businesses; boilers for hospitals, schools, hotels, homes, apartments, and condominiums, and other large commercial buildings; and water treatment products comprising point-of-entry water softeners, well water solutions, and whole-home water filtration products, and point-of-use carbon and reverse osmosis products for residences, restaurants, hotels, and offices. It also provides commercial water treatment and filtration products; expansion tanks, commercial solar water heating systems, swimming pool and spa heaters, and related products and parts; and electric wall-hung, gas tankless, combi-boiler, and heat pump and solar water heaters. The company offers its products under the A. O. Smith, State, Lochinvar, Hague, Water-Right, Master Water, Atlantic Filter, Impact, and Water Tec brands. It distributes its products through independent wholesale plumbing distributors, as well as to retail channels consisting of hardware and home center chains, and manufacturer representative firms, as well as offers Aquasana branded products directly to consumers through e-commerce channels; and A. O. Smith branded water treatment products through dealer network and Amazon. A. O. Smith Corporation was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Sector

Industrials

Industry

Specialty Industrial Machinery

Location

Milwaukee, United States

Employees

11,500