AA
Basic Materials · Aluminum
Performance
AA (AA) Stock Analysis 2026
Rule-based · Updated daily · Not financial advice
AA (AA) operates in the Aluminum space within the Basic Materials sector. With a market cap of $16.7B, it qualifies as a mid-cap company. Revenue has been contracting year-over-year, a headwind that investors will watch closely in upcoming earnings.
- Forward P/E (8.7×) is lower than trailing P/E (16.2×) — analysts expect earnings to improve
- ROE of 15.4% shows management efficiently converts equity into profit
- Revenue declined 5% YoY — warning sign for business momentum
- Earnings fell 23% YoY — profitability is under pressure
- High debt-to-equity of 37.02× increases financial risk, especially with elevated interest rates
- High beta of 1.57 — this stock is significantly more volatile than the broader market
Verdict
Avoid
Significant fundamental concerns outweigh positives. High risk at current levels.
AI Insight
Powered by ClaudeAI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Related Articles
Revenue & Results
Dividends
Current DY
0.62%
5Y Avg Annual
$0.3600
Last Payment
$0.1000
Ex-Date
05/19/2026
Annual dividends paid per share
| Ex-Date | Payment | Amount | Est. DY |
|---|---|---|---|
Latest05/19/2026 | 06/05/2026 | $0.1000 | 0.63% |
03/10/2026 | 03/27/2026 | $0.1000 | 0.63% |
11/04/2025 | 11/21/2025 | $0.1000 | 0.63% |
08/12/2025 | 08/29/2025 | $0.1000 | 0.63% |
05/20/2025 | 06/06/2025 | $0.1000 | 0.63% |
03/04/2025 | 03/21/2025 | $0.1000 | 0.63% |
10/29/2024 | 11/15/2024 | $0.1000 | 0.63% |
08/12/2024 | 08/29/2024 | $0.1000 | 0.63% |
Magic Number
Shares needed to self-fund your next purchase
$63.23
Price
$0.1000
Last div. (quarterly)
633
shares
Own 633 AA shares ($40,024.59) and each quarterly dividend pays for 1 new share — the snowball runs on its own.
Investment target
$40,024.59
New shares / year
+4 shares
If You Had Invested…
Hypothetical return based on historical prices
* Dividend reinvestment calculated at ex-date price. For informational purposes only.
Earnings
Next Earnings
Jul 16, 2026
30
days
EPS (TTM)
$3.90
P/E (TTM)
16.2
Fwd P/E
8.7
Earnings History
SEC EDGAR · official filings
SEC Filings
Official EDGAR documents
Key Statistics
Valuation
Trading
Dividends
Profitability
Balance Sheet
Fair Value Estimates
Current price: $63.23
Graham Number
√(22.5 × EPS × Book Value)
$47.64
Benjamin Graham's intrinsic value formula. Assumes a fair stock trades at no more than 22.5× the product of EPS and book value per share.
Bazin Ceiling Price
Avg. Annual DPS (5Y) ÷ 6%
$5.67
Décio Bazin's dividend-based ceiling. The max price you should pay so that dividends alone deliver at least 6% annual yield on your cost basis.
These are simplified estimates. Not financial advice.
Buy & Hold Checklist
Quality criteria for long-term holding
7/10
70% score
Pays dividends
15Y hist.15+ years of dividend history
Dividend consistency (5Y+)
15 yrsUninterrupted dividend payments for at least 5 years
ROE above 10%
15.4%Return on equity — measures how efficiently capital is used
Positive profit margin
8.2%Net profit margin must be positive — company earns more than it spends
Revenue growth (annual)
-5.2%Annual revenue must be growing compared to the prior year
Earnings growth (annual)
-22.7%Annual earnings must be growing compared to the prior year
Debt/Equity below 2×
37.02×Low financial leverage reduces risk of distress
Current ratio above 1
1.48×Short-term assets must cover short-term liabilities
Daily liquidity above $5M
$323M/dayHigh trading volume ensures easy entry and exit
Dividend yield above 0%
0.62%Stock must distribute income to shareholders
Related Assets
Basic Materials
About AA
Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Alumina and Aluminum. It operates bauxite and other aluminous ores mining and processes bauxite into alumina for sale to aluminum smelter customers and customers who process it into industrial chemical products through supply contracts to third parties, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company also offers aluminium powder and scrap and primary aluminum in the form of commodity grade ingot and value-add ingot to customers that produce products for transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, and other industrial markets. In addition, it provides energy that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in May 2016. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.